Here are the week 5 waiver wire recommendations. I’m going to try out a new style this week in hopes of helping some of the trigger-happy managers I have been getting Rashad Jennings hype-emails from all week long. Below you will find why you should stay away from Jennings, as well recommendations on other polarizing, waiver wire targets.
Alex Smith (QB – KC): Call him the poor-man’s Peyton Manning. Alex Smith makes tons of short-intermediate throws, and never turns the ball over. While game managing signal callers have never been a hot fantasy commodity, Smith continues to churn out 20+ point weeks with ease. Andy Reid is pass happy, and is going to continue to throw loads of YAC generating screens to Jamaal Charles, and Smith should continue to avoid the negative points from interceptions and sacks due to his efficient, quick passing. To date, he is scoring as a top 10 QB, and it wouldn’t surprise to see him continue.
Danny Woodhead (RB – SD): Woodhead continues to outproduce Ryan Mathews, and the Chargers continue to find interesting ways to line him up, and get him the ball. If his level of play remains high, his touches should only improve. As long as Philip Rivers continues his form, Woodhead should be a very solid producer.
Andre Ellington (RB – Ari): Ellington continues to outplay Mendenhall. This one is still more of a speculative add, but the young back’s stock should skyrocket if Mendenhall continues to disappoint. It’s worth noting that HC, Bruce Arians has already stated that he thinks Ellington is someone who can handle the everydown workload. Similarly, it’s pretty clear that Mendenhall is on his way out.
Nate Washington (WR – Ten): Not a great play this week, but Nate Washington continues to be the most productive receiver for the Titans. With Locker injured, it is slightly unclear if that trajectory will continue, and he isn’t a great bet to produce against a dominant Kansas City defense this week, but keep an eye on him, because there is clearly still some gas left in the tank. His value is boosted by Kenny Britt being a dumbass, and more or less tweeting himself out of a job.
Terrance Williams (WR – Dal): Here are some things you should never trust in the fantasy football world: Bill Belichick runningbacks, and Miles Austin’s hamstrings. Is it really any suprise Austin is injured again? Terrance Williams deputized, and did a nice job catching 7 balls for 71 yards. The only gripe was his goal line fumble, which HC Jason Garrett chalked up to “eagerness to score and help the team.” Austin looks set to miss another week, and Williams should be a very solid play – especially if the Cowboys get into a shootout against Denver.
Any Defense Playing Against the Jacksonville Jaguars: Seriously, people are scooping up the Jaguars opponents two weeks in advance in my league to get themselves a piece of that buttery match-up. If the Jags can limit any opposing fantasy defense to under 10 points for the rest of the season, I would actually be very surprised.
Rashad Jennings (RB – Oak): I’m really flabbergasted as to why all the top “experts” are recommending Jennings this week. I get that RBs are in short supply, and he is most likely a starter, but there are two major reasons why I think he will badly fail. One, Jennings has never been able to be anything more than a change-of-pace back. When MJD went down in Jax, he was abysmal filling in with every down touches. Two, he gets more than 50% of his production from catching screen passes – which Terrell Pryor doesn’t throw. With Matt Flynn relegated to 3rd string, Pryor will continue to huck it downfield, and poach goal line carries – effectively neutralizing any value that Jennings will have until either Marcel Reece or McFadden return.
Kris Durham (WR – Det): Every year, whichever wide receiver lines up across from Calvin Johnson is deemed a “sleeper” because of the passing nature of the Lions offense, and the attention CJ draws from opposing defenses. Every year, we buy into it (Ryan Broyles, Titus Young, Nate Burleson…), and every year they disappoint. I’m saving myself the frustration on this one. Last week Durham still managed to lead the Lions WRs in receiving yardage and he has a favorable matchup this week to boot, but temper expectations, as Stafford historically relies on Calvin Johnson and screen passes.
Chris Ogbonnaya (RB – Cle): Willis McGahee continued to look awful on Thursday night against the Bills, posting 72 yards on 26 carries for a gross 2.76 YPC. Additionally, the only reason he got is touchdown was from fortuitous penalties and playcalls that granted him FIVE tries to punch the ball in from within the 3 yard line. Ogbonnaya is a competent pass-catching back, and if McGahee continues to disappoint, look for him to grab a bigger role on a hot Cleveland team.
Mike Goodson (RB – NYJ): Many people think Goodson is the most talented runner on this Jets team, and Chris Ivory has seemingly been knocked down the depth chart. Not many expected Bilal Powell to hold onto the job, and Goodson should get plenty of opportunities to seize the role with the Jets top two WR’s out with injury.