- Andy Dalton (vs Oak) – The Raiders have been getting absolutely torched lately, allowing six TD’s to opposing receivers over the past three weeks. They show no signs of improving against one of the top QB-WR (AJ Green) tandems in the league, who have connected for at least one TD in each of the past nine games.
- Tony Romo (vs Was) – The Cowboys normally play very tough on Thanksgiving, as does Romo, with 14 TD’s to only four interceptions while playing on Turkey day. To add onto his appeal, Felix Jones is banged up, DeMarco Murray isn’t returning this week, and Dez Bryant is finally hitting stride. Combine the fact that the Redskins have given up the third most points to opposing QB’s (they will be without the injured London Fletcher and Brandon Meriweather), and this makes for one hell of an attractive play.
- Jalen Parmele (vs Ten) – After the Jaguars pulled the plug on Rashad Jennings, Parmele came in and put up a very respectable 80 yards on 24 carries against a tough Houston defense. With a much more favorable matchup this week, and Henne coming off a hot performance which will hopefully take pressure off the run, Parmele should be in for a nice day.
- BenJarvus Green-Ellis (vs Oak) – Coming off of his best game of the season, posting 25 carries for 101 yards and a TD, BJGE should continue to roll against this horrid Oakland defense. The second half could very well be all his, if Cinci jumps out to an early lead like many expect.
- AJ Green (vs Oak) – Like you were really thinking of benching him, anyways. His stats speak for themselves, and many are predicting him to go off for a 200+ yard performance.
- Michael Crabtree (@ NO) – 13 catches, 173 yards, and four TD’s over his past three games which include matchups against the Cardinals and Bears. Coming into a far easier matchup against New Orleans, continue to roll with Crabtree.
- Denarius Moore (@ Cin) – Despite his absolutely horrid performance against the Saints last week, I’d bet on Moore to rebound in a game where Carson Palmer will be pissed off due to his tribulations with the Bengals front office. Similarly, the Raiders should have plenty of time to put up garbage points in this game.
- Dez Bryant (vs Was) – Targeted 15 times against Cleveland, putting up 12 catches for 145 and a TD. Against one of the worst (and injured) pass defenses in the league, Romo’s history of performing well on Thanksgiving, and Dallas’s lack of a real runningback, Dez is a must start.
- Brandon Myers (@ Cin) – 19 catches, 171 yards, and three TD’s over his past three games. Continue to roll with Myers, who has been an absolute gem off the waiver wire, against the Bengals. The Raiders are very likely to find themselves in an early hole here, and that spells alot of second half garbage points.
- Jermaine Gresham (vs Oak) – For the same reasons I like AJ Green.
- Minnesota (@ Chi) – Despite what might happen on the other side of the ball, I simply think Jason Campbell is garbage.
- Seattle (@ Mia) – Seattle is virtually a must-start every week, especially with a matchup like the Dolphins.
- St. Louis (@ Ari) – The Rams defense has been the one bright spot this season, and against a struggling Cardinals team, they make for a very solid, but sneaky play this week.
- Joe Flacco (@ SD) – The Chargers defense is no pushover, and Flacco continues to disappoint on the road, yet to put up over 15 points while playing away.
- Brandon Weeden (vs Pit) – The Steelers have only been hit for 200+ passing yards one time since their bye in week 5. Weeden is almost certainly not going to be the second.
- Steven Jackson (@ Ari) – The Cardinals are allowing the third fewest points to opposing backs, and Steven Jackson is already a hit-or miss player. Expect a miss here.
- Shonn Greene (vs NE) – The Jets most likely won’t be in a position to run the ball very much this game. Regardless, the Patriots are extremely tough on the run, and Bilal Powell managed to poach two TD’s off of Greene last week.
- Brandon Lloyd (@ NYJ) – Regardless of how much I liked Lloyd before the season, he has been too enigmatic to be a reliable start with only three TD’s and one 100+ yard game on the season. Similarly, it appears he is losing playing time to Julian Edelman. I don’t expect the absence of Gronk to boost his standing too much.
- Eagles Receivers (vs Car) – The Eagles are imploding, and Nick Foles is clearly not the answer, as he struggled against the Redskins, who have one of the worst pass defenses in the league.
- Jermichael Finley (@ Det) – We kept hearing how him and Aaron Rodgers met up to hash out discrepancies, which may be true, as he is coming off of his first touchdown since week 1. Despite this, the Giants have only allowed one score to a TE this year, and I still wouldn’t trust Finley with his risk of putting up a goose egg.
- Heath Miller (@ Cle) – With no Big Ben, Miller’s production has fallen of the face of a cliff, and that shows no signs of improving under Charlie Batch.
- Atlanta (vs TB) – The Bucs, and Josh Freeman specifically, have been on a roll lately. Atlanta is vulnerable to the pass. There are better/surer plays this week.